June jobs report likely to reduce recessions risk: Economic expert

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June’s job report could reduce recessions risks: Economic expert

‘Thru the Cycle’ President John Lonski weighs in on June’s job report, saying the U.S. has added a ‘healthy’ amount on ‘Mornings with Maria.’ 

Thru the Cycle President John Lonski reacted to June’s better-than-expected jobs report, Friday, telling "Mornings with Maria" that he's "never heard" of a recession when an economy is growing payrolls by more than 300,000 jobs per month.

JOHN LONSKI: I think it's much better than anticipated. I'd like the fact that the gain in jobs was broadly distributed. Even if we take into account those downward revisions that David spoke about, we're still looking at an overall gain, say, of 300,000 jobs. Healthy. Along with this, we have just a modest increase by the average wage telling me that perhaps we ought not to get terribly worried about a wage price spiral, bringing about a more difficult task of trying to eliminate price inflation. 

File inflation graphic. (iStock / iStock)

Now, of course, this brings us back to the point where wages are lagging inflation, the purchasing power of incomes is declining, and that will eventually take its toll of consumer spending. And that is where we run into a recession. As far as a recession is concerned, I've never heard of a recession where you're growing payrolls by more than 300,000 jobs per month. So this report has the effect of reducing recession risk, and that explains why that ten year Treasury yield is headed higher. 

EMPLOYERS ADD 372K JOBS IN JUNE AS HIRING REMAINS STEADY

WATCH THE FULL INTERVIEW HERE: 

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June’s job report is a ‘milestone’ for full private sector recovery: Economist

ZipRecruiter chief economist Julia Pollak, U.S. Bank Wealth Management Senior V.P. Lisa Erickson, Employbridge Chief Workforce Analyst Joanie Bily, FreedomWorks economist Steve Moore, Florida Bankers Association CEO Alex Sanchez, and Thru the Cycle President John Lonski react to June’s job report on ‘Mornings with Maria.’

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